Daniel Kahneman
Chapters
- CHAPTER 1 — The Characters of the Story — 1 minTwo characters run your thinking. One produces quick answers: impressions, feelings, and impulses that appear without effort. The…
- CHAPTER 2 — Attention and Effort — 1 minAttention is limited, and you can feel the limit. Effortful thinking has a cost: it slows you down,…
- CHAPTER 3 — The Lazy Controller — 1 minThe slow system likes to think it is in charge. In reality, it often rubber-stamps what the fast…
- CHAPTER 4 — The Associative Machine — 1 minThe fast system is an associative machine. It links ideas by similarity, cause, and mood, producing quick interpretations…
- CHAPTER 5 — Cognitive Ease — 1 minSome thoughts feel smooth. They arrive quickly, are easy to process, and create a pleasant sense of certainty.…
- CHAPTER 6 — Norms, Surprises, and Causes — 1 minYou navigate the world by noticing what breaks a pattern. Norms fade into the background; surprises demand explanation.…
- CHAPTER 7 — A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions — 1 minThe fast system is built to leap. It turns partial evidence into a whole picture, then treats that…
- CHAPTER 8 — How Judgments Happen — 1 minJudgment often begins as impression. The fast system proposes a verdict—good, bad, risky, safe—before you have articulated reasons.…
- CHAPTER 9 — Answering an Easier Question — 1 minWhen faced with a hard question, the mind often performs a quiet substitution. Instead of answering what was…
- CHAPTER 10 — The Law of Small Numbers — 1 minSmall samples tempt you into strong stories. A few observations feel like evidence of a pattern, especially when…
- CHAPTER 11 — Anchors — 1 minNumbers you encounter—even irrelevant ones—can become anchors. Once an anchor is present, your estimates drift toward it, as…
- CHAPTER 12 — The Science of Availability — 1 minYou assess frequency and probability by ease of recall. If examples come to mind quickly, the event feels…
- CHAPTER 13 — Availability, Emotion, and Risk — 1 minRisk rarely feels statistical. It feels emotional. If a hazard is vivid, frightening, or easy to picture, it…
- CHAPTER 14 — Tom W’s Specialty — 1 minWhen you judge what someone is “like,” you rely on resemblance to a stereotype. A description that fits…
- CHAPTER 15 — Linda: Less is More — 1 minSome judgments feel more plausible when they are more detailed. A richer story seems more “real,” even if…
- CHAPTER 16 — Causes Trump Statistics — 1 minYour mind is built to see causes. When you encounter a pattern, you immediately ask what produced it,…
- CHAPTER 17 — Regression to the Mean — 1 minExtreme performances tend to be followed by less extreme ones. This is not fate, punishment, or reward. It…
- CHAPTER 18 — Taming Intuitive Predictions — 1 minPredictions feel like insight, but they are often extrapolations from a small, vivid set of cues. Intuition overreacts…
- CHAPTER 19 — The Illusion of Understanding — 1 minYou understand the past by turning it into a story. Events get arranged into causes and consequences until…
- CHAPTER 20 — The Illusion of Validity — 1 minYou can feel sure even when the evidence is thin. The feeling of confidence is often driven by…
- CHAPTER 21 — Intuitions Vs. Formulas — 1 minHuman judgment feels flexible and rich, but it is also inconsistent. The same expert can give different answers…
- CHAPTER 22 — Expert Intuition: When Can We Trust It? — 1 minNot all intuition is equal. Some intuitions are genuine expertise: fast recognition built from long practice. Others are…
- CHAPTER 23 — The Outside View — 1 minWhen you plan, you naturally adopt the inside view: focusing on your specific intentions, resources, and obstacles. The…
- CHAPTER 24 — The Engine of Capitalism — 1 minOverconfidence is not only a personal flaw; it can be an economic force. Optimism pushes people to start…
- CHAPTER 25 — Bernoulli’s Errors — 1 minClassical economics imagines a rational chooser who evaluates outcomes by their final states. But human judgment does not…
- CHAPTER 26 — Prospect Theory — 1 minProspect theory replaces the smooth rational chooser with a mind that treats losses and gains asymmetrically. Losses loom…
- CHAPTER 27 — The Endowment Effect — 1 minOwnership changes value. Once something is “yours,” giving it up feels like a loss, and losses are weighted…
- CHAPTER 28 — Bad Events — 1 minBad events carry extra weight. A loss is not simply a negative gain; it has a sharper psychological…
- CHAPTER 29 — The Fourfold Pattern — 1 minYour appetite for risk shifts with two variables: whether you are facing gains or losses, and whether the…
- CHAPTER 30 — Rare Events — 1 minRare events are handled poorly by intuition. They get overweighted when they are vivid, recent, or emotionally charged—and…
- CHAPTER 31 — Risk Policies — 1 minCase-by-case decision making invites inconsistency. Each new problem feels unique, so the mind improvises—and improvisation amplifies mood, framing,…
- CHAPTER 32 — Keeping Score — 1 minYou do not treat all money as interchangeable. The mind keeps separate accounts: savings, windfalls, “play money,” painful…
- CHAPTER 33 — Reversals — 1 minPreferences can reverse when nothing substantive changes. The switch is often caused by how options are presented or…
- CHAPTER 34 — Frames and Reality — 1 minA frame is not decoration. It defines what counts as a gain, what counts as a loss, and…
- CHAPTER 35 — Two Selves — 1 minYou live life twice: once as experience, once as memory. The experiencing self answers, “How is it right…
- CHAPTER 36 — Life as a Story — 1 minThe remembering self does not store raw experience. It constructs a story: highlights, turning points, explanations, endings. That…
- CHAPTER 37 — Experienced Well-Being — 1 minExperienced well-being is the quality of moments: how you feel as time passes. It is different from life…
- CHAPTER 38 — Thinking About Life — 3 minWhen you make life choices—jobs, cities, relationships—you often consult memory and imagination, not lived experience. The remembering self…